tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post2161042269849858252..comments2024-03-14T23:01:01.109-07:00Comments on 魚之樂: 好例子Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger23125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-44783361390729649032012-02-04T11:25:25.582-08:002012-02-04T11:25:25.582-08:00Oh hi, sorry for late reply.
i have graduated last...Oh hi, sorry for late reply.<br />i have graduated last year from UW.<br />其實我問yan跟你,都只想指出<br />//沒有 bias, 老婆怎可以一個合理的時間判斷老公去滾?//<br />or//if 老婆沒有 bias, she should hire a private eye to check her husband out.//<br />背後都可能需要一種bias.<br />i will say if 老婆沒有 bias, she will never think her husband will cheat on her .非理性的人https://www.blogger.com/profile/16760624547686865994noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-47606220974966421732012-02-03T03:39:18.789-08:002012-02-03T03:39:18.789-08:00You may think it's fair by using nationwide av...You may think it's fair by using nationwide average data however, for those who living in small towns or countryside may think it could get even worse because the accident rates in those areas are usually lower than the big cities, nationwide average would bring up their rates and make them to pay more.神洲http://gmue2008.mysinablog.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-34563581177849266802012-02-01T22:17:14.660-08:002012-02-01T22:17:14.660-08:00神洲,
I am not sure if Wong's 心理機制 is what one t...神洲,<br />I am not sure if Wong's 心理機制 is what one thinks or how one behaves. Since you talk about statistics, so let's deal with behavior. Let's say, an insurance company looks at the statistics for the whole nation and finds that drivers under 25 are involved in accidents more. Every year it looks at statistics for the whole nation and uses the data to set the premium for drivers under 25 for the whole nation. I won't called in conformation bias or any kind of bias. However, if the company looks at the statistics only for a small city which has been known for its high rate, much higher than the national average rate, of accidents that involve drivers under 25 and uses the data to set the premium for drivers under 25 for the whole nation, I would say that it is statistically biased. Whether it is confirmation bias, I wouldn't say. To you, it may be. To Wong, it may not be.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-90896509042603049172012-02-01T00:36:43.124-08:002012-02-01T00:36:43.124-08:00你這樣理解 "confirmation bias" 兩字,也無不可,不過已不是我...你這樣理解 "confirmation bias" 兩字,也無不可,不過已不是我講的心理機制。W. Wonghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07161244576570372004noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-12107328291169784142012-02-01T00:13:29.263-08:002012-02-01T00:13:29.263-08:00又例如如果要criticize保險公司對25歲以下年輕人收高額的保費,可以說保險公司做法有confi...又例如如果要criticize保險公司對25歲以下年輕人收高額的保費,可以說保險公司做法有confirmation bias之嫌,但如果要肯定保險公司的做法,也可以說它們的做法符合statistics trend,這是我的感覺,不知對否?神洲http://gmue2008.mysinablog.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-92055095692306899922012-01-31T23:57:06.596-08:002012-01-31T23:57:06.596-08:00就好像說「敵人是很狡猾的」而不說「敵人是很聰明的」那樣,兩者有類似的意思,只是「聰明」是褒而「狡猾」...就好像說「敵人是很狡猾的」而不說「敵人是很聰明的」那樣,兩者有類似的意思,只是「聰明」是褒而「狡猾」是貶那樣。神洲http://gmue2008.mysinablog.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-68410662279662159072012-01-31T23:48:45.807-08:002012-01-31T23:48:45.807-08:00是,confirmation bias應該是一種負面或貶義的意思,我只是覺得有些像是「聰明」和「古滑...是,confirmation bias應該是一種負面或貶義的意思,我只是覺得有些像是「聰明」和「古滑」那樣,一個是褒一個是貶,但都含有腦筋靈活的意思那樣, confirmation bias似乎也好像帶有某程度的statistics而得出某種trend,只是bias是負面的詞,而trend則是正面的。神洲http://gmue2008.mysinablog.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-63184465153895034052012-01-31T22:43:49.120-08:002012-01-31T22:43:49.120-08:00你好像誤會了 "confirmation bias" 的意思。Confirmat...你好像誤會了 "confirmation bias" 的意思。Confirmation bias 是一種不自覺的心理機制,不是刻意運用的方法。W. Wonghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07161244576570372004noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-17321737206583299842012-01-31T19:43:29.148-08:002012-01-31T19:43:29.148-08:00是的。但是很多時confirmation bias卻似乎是一種有用的工具,被普遍應用於很多行業例如保...是的。但是很多時confirmation bias卻似乎是一種有用的工具,被普遍應用於很多行業例如保險公司,就通常會對年齡低於25歲的駕車人士收取更高的保險費以及很多行業例如銀行等都會利用統計數據去預測各種趨勢,應該都是應用了confirmation bias來達到那些除此以外就不能夠得到的結果。神洲http://gmue2008.mysinablog.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-2611032102378060552012-01-30T22:56:48.842-08:002012-01-30T22:56:48.842-08:00非理性的人,
I didn't really try to analyze the sent...非理性的人,<br />I didn't really try to analyze the sentence. I just guess what it meant as if it was said by an average person. I didn't even really care about the "bias" part. I wouldn't say what I jokingly suggested was without bias or it would really work (it may backfire). I would say that if 老婆沒有 bias, she should hire a private eye to check her husband out.<br />Are you attending school in Seattle? What school you are in?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-87979164409070145432012-01-30T12:07:35.655-08:002012-01-30T12:07:35.655-08:00in cognitive science term, you may call the bias a...in cognitive science term, you may call the bias as a "prior possibility" of the proposed bayesian mind theory.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-21917513660183045222012-01-30T09:41:14.251-08:002012-01-30T09:41:14.251-08:00假如你認為某人有 confirmation bias,這個判斷本身也可能有 confirmation...假如你認為某人有 confirmation bias,這個判斷本身也可能有 confirmation bias。W. Wonghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07161244576570372004noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-34317490784418051452012-01-30T03:17:05.009-08:002012-01-30T03:17:05.009-08:00To Yan,
不用say sorry, 小弟只是想弄得明白...
不過就算是「老婆怎可以以一個合...To Yan, <br />不用say sorry, 小弟只是想弄得明白...<br />不過就算是「老婆怎可以以一個合理的時間內判斷老公去滾」,<br />小弟都唔明,究竟是<br />1 老婆怎可以以一個合理的時間"去"判斷老公去滾<br />2 老婆怎可以"於"一個合理的時間內判斷老公去滾<br />如果真的是「老婆怎可以以一個合理的時間內判斷老公去滾」,<br />確實唔明白...<br /><br />to匿名<br />even though I do not know who you are,<br />i think i should say thanks to you.<br />your definition seems to be<br />「(如果該老婆)沒有 bias, 老婆怎可以 於一個合理的時間後、單以她老公的反應而判斷老公去滾?」<br />neither 「沒有 bias, 老婆怎可以一個合理的時間判斷老公去滾?」nor 「沒有 bias, 老婆怎可以以一個合理的時間內判斷老公去滾?」非理性的人https://www.blogger.com/profile/16760624547686865994noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-1126729472735214342012-01-29T23:35:39.085-08:002012-01-29T23:35:39.085-08:00如果confirmation bias是人類中固有的一種客觀存在(甚至動物似乎也是有的,動物似乎也會...如果confirmation bias是人類中固有的一種客觀存在(甚至動物似乎也是有的,動物似乎也會根據過往的「經驗」而作出bias判斷),那麼根據人類的這種固有存在而去推測某類型人的想法或行為,那是否又屬confirmation bias?神洲http://gmue2008.mysinablog.com/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-38281055940358542632012-01-29T16:48:17.571-08:002012-01-29T16:48:17.571-08:00剛看了這篇,再看了Facebook 上的星座性格分析,驚覺真的很易有confirmation bia...剛看了這篇,再看了Facebook 上的星座性格分析,驚覺真的很易有confirmation bias 而不自覺。Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-38469035910600365422012-01-29T09:13:28.207-08:002012-01-29T09:13:28.207-08:00打錯字,改了。謝謝指正。打錯字,改了。謝謝指正。W. Wonghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07161244576570372004noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-47777187594556770772012-01-29T06:20:03.165-08:002012-01-29T06:20:03.165-08:00/*3 這句「老婆怎可以一個合理的時間判斷老公去滾」,小弟唔明,語句又好像有少少不通...*/
S.../*3 這句「老婆怎可以一個合理的時間判斷老公去滾」,小弟唔明,語句又好像有少少不通...*/<br /><br />Sorry, 近來很少用腦,又很懶,這文句當然文句不通,應是:老婆怎可以以一個合理的時間內判斷老公去滾。<br /><br />其他的,sorry, 沒太大的力量去答。Yanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05543452661425487649noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-55577663496012688312012-01-29T05:57:13.171-08:002012-01-29T05:57:13.171-08:00//沒有 bias, 老婆怎可以一個合理的時間判斷老公去滾?//
Don't sleep w...//沒有 bias, 老婆怎可以一個合理的時間判斷老公去滾?//<br />Don't sleep with your husband for some 合理的時間, like a month. If he doesn't complaint, you can pretty much 判斷 that surely your 老公去滾.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-60654810385001494502012-01-29T02:09:01.909-08:002012-01-29T02:09:01.909-08:00Helo Yan,
1 有沒有例子?
2 小弟唔明,能否解釋為何學習語言需要Bias
3 這句「老婆...Helo Yan,<br />1 有沒有例子?<br />2 小弟唔明,能否解釋為何學習語言需要Bias<br />3 這句「老婆怎可以一個合理的時間判斷老公去滾」,小弟唔明,語句又好像有少少不通...非理性的人https://www.blogger.com/profile/16760624547686865994noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-81939579734080549732012-01-29T02:02:05.694-08:002012-01-29T02:02:05.694-08:00問
1「『1116, 1118, 1200』是對」是否同學的驗正?
如果是,是否應該寫成「1116,...問<br />1「『1116, 1118, 1200』是對」是否同學的驗正?<br />如果是,是否應該寫成「1116, 1118, 1120」?<br />2「2. 1000, 2000」中的「.」是否應該 是「,」?非理性的人https://www.blogger.com/profile/16760624547686865994noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-86723313819948273872012-01-28T22:59:52.047-08:002012-01-28T22:59:52.047-08:00以前聽過一個字眼,cherry pick,大概也是confirmation bias的意思。很生動的...以前聽過一個字眼,cherry pick,大概也是confirmation bias的意思。很生動的說法,只挑甜的櫻桃吃,哈哈。<br /><br />SandyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-60482110850344545442012-01-28T22:07:02.798-08:002012-01-28T22:07:02.798-08:00很多考試的推理題,就是要你有 bias,否則好難在1,2 分鐘內得到答案。
沒有 bias,怎可學...很多考試的推理題,就是要你有 bias,否則好難在1,2 分鐘內得到答案。<br /><br />沒有 bias,怎可學語言?<br /><br />沒有 bias, 老婆怎可以一個合理的時間判斷老公去滾?Yanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05543452661425487649noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4010478591191633760.post-13374455839313886052012-01-28T21:20:10.354-08:002012-01-28T21:20:10.354-08:00Sometimes my kids in grade school got some math pr...Sometimes my kids in grade school got some math problems on patterns, I would look at them and I said I couldn't be sure what the patterns were. It's obvious to people who didn't know better. To me I could see more than one pattern to each of those problems. They should phrase the problems better.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com